With Plaid Cymru leadership challenger Rhun ap Iorwerth  ending he  wanting to move the party from the left to the centre politically, party members may well be wondering  just why this a contest at all.
Mr  ap Iorwerth told BBC Wales’ Newyddion9 programme he was against “being narrow in another part of the political spectrum”.
Plaid leader Leanne Wood has called the Welsh political centre ground “crowded” and “not an attractive place to be”.
Mr ap Iorwerth also said he did not want a coalition with Labour or the Conservatives.
A significant result of Paul Davies’ as leader of the Coservative Group in the Assembly  election could be his willingness to offer a vote to party members over whether they would be willing to form a coalition with Plaid Cymru, who also are approaching a leadership election in the coming weeks. 
It has been reportd that ,  Rhun ap Iorwerth had expressed a willingness to consider this should he be elected.
 If the Welsh Conservative members decide they would be happy for this to happen, perhaps it could lead to concerns for Labour in the 2021 elections and a huge change for the Assembly in Wales, which is exactly what these leadership elections aimed to do.
Though it may increase Conservative votes it could be disastrous for Plaid with Labour making it a plank of their campaign.
Indeed both Labour and the Tories could be claiming a Plaid-Tory coalition is on the cards even when the former absolutely deny that there is one!
Ms Wood has said it is “quite possible” either Mr ap Iorwerth , or her other challenger, Adam Price, would be willing to make a deal with the Conservatives after the 2021 election.
That is indeed the impression that I had , but it with  Mr Price saying  the idea of a coalition involving Plaid Cymru should be “taken off the table” and the party should focus on building a positive message.
At the moment the prospect pf a Plaid government majority or minority look unlikely and despite the obvious talents and claims of all three contenders, I do not see that  a change of leadership would make a major change in the polls.
Indeed when Plaid had its highly successful result in 1997 and the obvious charisma of the then leader Dafydd Wiggly , it was divisions within Labour that had the most impact.
 When Harold Macmillan became Britain’s prime minister, he was asked what would determine his government’s course. He replied with Edwardian languor: “Events, dear boy, events.”
An event–the 1956 Suez debacle–had catapulted him into 10 Downing Street. An event–the sex-and-spies Profumo scandal–would grease the skids under him in 1963.

Tony Blair has been credited with the 1997 Labour landslide but it was largely due to a Tory party running out of ideas and exposure of sleaze, with even the right-wing press wanting a change of government that  brought John Major’s government down 


Remember  Paddy Ashton’s Liberal Democrats made a net gain of 28 seats in that election all of them Tory.
The future of Plaid Cymru leaders  may well depend on how He or She respond to the perceived cataclysm of a Post-Brexit Uk.
When Plaid members vote they may well consider this.